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	<title>Comments on: Scientific Innovator&#8217;s Dilemma</title>
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		<title>By: Krishna</title>
		<link>http://lingpipe-blog.com/2008/10/06/scientific-innovators-dilemma/#comment-2899</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Krishna]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Oct 2008 18:31:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lingpipe.wordpress.com/?p=209#comment-2899</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Economist has an interesting article around scientific paper publishing and the &quot;Winners Curse&quot;.
http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12376658

And they also bring up a point about scientific papers being biased towards &quot;positive&quot; results, this is probably true of authors as well, who probably dont want to publish &quot;negative&quot; results.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Economist has an interesting article around scientific paper publishing and the &#8220;Winners Curse&#8221;.<br />
<a href="http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12376658" rel="nofollow">http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12376658</a></p>
<p>And they also bring up a point about scientific papers being biased towards &#8220;positive&#8221; results, this is probably true of authors as well, who probably dont want to publish &#8220;negative&#8221; results.</p>
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		<title>By: lingpipe</title>
		<link>http://lingpipe-blog.com/2008/10/06/scientific-innovators-dilemma/#comment-2897</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[lingpipe]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 17:47:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lingpipe.wordpress.com/?p=209#comment-2897</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The crux of the dilemma is that when you can afford the other company, they don&#039;t look like a threat.  And there is typically a whole bunch of such companies.  No one has enough money to just buy everything that might conceivably ever be a threat.  And no one&#039;s smart enough to predict where the threats come from.  The disk drive case studies have a lot of examples of companies trying to anticipate the move from minicomputer disks to microcomputer disks, and mostly failing.  

A good thought exercise is this: what should Microsoft buy to prevent an erosion of its operating systems and office software businesses?  What should Apple do to keep up its music business?  Or if you think it&#039;s too late for these dinosaurs, what should Google buy to prevent an erosion of its core advertising business?  When should newspapers have been worried about losing classified ads to eBay and Craigslist and who should they have bought for how much? 

Or to finish with a relevant academic example, what should traditional academic publishers like Wiley or Elsevier do now in the face of self-hosted open-access journals like the Journal of Machine Learning Research?   What they&#039;re actually doing is twofold.  One is moving to author-based payment, such as teh $2650 Oxford University Press would charge us to publish in one of their journals:

http://www.oxfordjournals.org/our_journals/nar/announce_openaccess.html


The publishers are also lobbying congress to remove the law that says all content funded by NIH needs to be open source and block any such moves the government might make in the future:

http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2008/911/1

It&#039;s a typical defend-your-existing-business move.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The crux of the dilemma is that when you can afford the other company, they don&#8217;t look like a threat.  And there is typically a whole bunch of such companies.  No one has enough money to just buy everything that might conceivably ever be a threat.  And no one&#8217;s smart enough to predict where the threats come from.  The disk drive case studies have a lot of examples of companies trying to anticipate the move from minicomputer disks to microcomputer disks, and mostly failing.  </p>
<p>A good thought exercise is this: what should Microsoft buy to prevent an erosion of its operating systems and office software businesses?  What should Apple do to keep up its music business?  Or if you think it&#8217;s too late for these dinosaurs, what should Google buy to prevent an erosion of its core advertising business?  When should newspapers have been worried about losing classified ads to eBay and Craigslist and who should they have bought for how much? </p>
<p>Or to finish with a relevant academic example, what should traditional academic publishers like Wiley or Elsevier do now in the face of self-hosted open-access journals like the Journal of Machine Learning Research?   What they&#8217;re actually doing is twofold.  One is moving to author-based payment, such as teh $2650 Oxford University Press would charge us to publish in one of their journals:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.oxfordjournals.org/our_journals/nar/announce_openaccess.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.oxfordjournals.org/our_journals/nar/announce_openaccess.html</a></p>
<p>The publishers are also lobbying congress to remove the law that says all content funded by NIH needs to be open source and block any such moves the government might make in the future:</p>
<p><a href="http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2008/911/1" rel="nofollow">http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2008/911/1</a></p>
<p>It&#8217;s a typical defend-your-existing-business move.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan</title>
		<link>http://lingpipe-blog.com/2008/10/06/scientific-innovators-dilemma/#comment-2896</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 14:14:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://lingpipe.wordpress.com/?p=209#comment-2896</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If the dominant player in an industry has enough cash on hand, couldn&#039;t they just acquire the company with the disruptive technology before it becomes a threat to their business?  Of course that doesn&#039;t really apply in the &quot;academic&quot; case.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the dominant player in an industry has enough cash on hand, couldn&#8217;t they just acquire the company with the disruptive technology before it becomes a threat to their business?  Of course that doesn&#8217;t really apply in the &#8220;academic&#8221; case.</p>
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